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Red45
70319.6
72269.1
168429.9
Blue73
546035.2
584314.1
998813.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725502040801001204573

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.6
29.127.5
Auto2.5
Teleop21.2
End6.1
blue by 5.3
35.21.4
29.731.1
Auto6.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
Second
703
#9
19.61.6
20.819.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End5.2
red by 5.5
5843
#12
14.11.4
15.917.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Third
7226
#16
9.11.6
18.617.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.7
blue by 4.3
9988
#10
13.42.1
6.99.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed27%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsMissed