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Red74
413027.1
56857.5
659131.1
Blue66
544812.7
70319.6
546035.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686740506080907466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.3
29.629.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End7.4
blue by 4.1
35.20.1
33.834.0
Auto6.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
Second
27.10.3
26.626.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End5.9
red by 7.5
703
#9
19.60.1
18.318.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End5.2
Third
5685
#15
7.50.3
7.27.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.4
blue by 5.1
12.70.1
11.711.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
31%Rocket oddsEarned29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned