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Red63
517312.8
276726.7
544812.7
Blue82
659131.1
705622.1
168429.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59730501001506382

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
27.627.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.6
End8.1
blue by 4.4
31.10.9
20.921.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Second
5173
#11
12.80.2
18.918.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End3.5
blue by 17.1
29.90.9
29.230.1
Auto2.5
Teleop21.2
End6.1
Third
12.70.2
9.69.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End4.2
blue by 9.4
22.10.9
18.719.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed35%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned