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Red27
354620.0
60987.6
658214.1
Blue42
610016.6
437617.6
433714.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484102060802742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.02.1
16.714.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
red by 2.5
17.60.4
14.114.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End8.1
Second
6582
#22
14.12.1
14.612.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
blue by 2.5
16.60.4
13.814.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End8.7
Third
6098
#37
7.62.1
14.412.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 6.8
4337
#20
14.30.2
11.011.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned