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Red39
779010.4
511421.9
496717.8
Blue56
357222.6
610016.6
705416.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543102030506070803956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
21.90.2
21.321.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
blue by 0.7
22.61.7
14.416.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End8.4
Second
4967
#10
17.80.4
13.513.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End6.6
red by 1.2
16.61.7
13.815.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End8.7
Third
7790
#27
10.40.4
7.67.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 6.2
7054
#11
16.61.7
12.714.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsEarned