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Red56
524713.6
609024.5
760210.8
Blue33
607410.3
785511.3
171113.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350102030506070805633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.2
19.420.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 10.6
1711
#25
13.90.0
14.614.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Second
5247
#33
13.61.2
8.39.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End3.5
red by 2.4
7855
#32
11.30.0
8.08.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
7602
#26
10.81.2
7.38.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
red by 0.5
6074
#34
10.30.0
10.210.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed