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Red40
602021.7
658214.1
400418.2
Blue29
376718.3
524713.6
607410.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45362030405060704029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
13.813.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End7.2
red by 3.4
3767
#16
18.30.6
14.513.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
18.20.3
16.316.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End3.6
red by 4.6
5247
#33
13.60.6
9.58.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Third
6582
#22
14.10.3
12.412.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
red by 3.8
6074
#34
10.30.6
10.29.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed