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Red34
361815.2
609713.4
496717.8
Blue57
716020.0
602021.7
785511.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4036203050603457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#10
17.80.5
14.514.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End6.6
blue by 3.8
21.72.5
13.516.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End7.2
Second
3618
#15
15.20.5
11.811.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 4.8
20.02.5
11.814.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Third
6097
#35
13.40.5
11.811.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 2.1
7855
#32
11.32.5
9.111.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsEarned