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Red28
658214.1
433714.3
43983.6
Blue37
656112.5
345812.8
361815.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102030405060702837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4337
#20
14.30.3
14.013.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 0.8
3618
#15
15.20.2
11.311.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Second
6582
#22
14.10.6
12.111.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
red by 1.3
3458
#21
12.80.2
9.79.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.4
Third
4398
#39
3.60.6
7.16.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.7
End2.7
blue by 8.8
6561
#31
12.50.2
11.011.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed