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Red29
609713.4
606515.9
779010.4
Blue18
61284.5
433714.3
607410.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4131102050602918

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6065
#18
15.91.4
16.114.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End2.7
red by 1.6
4337
#20
14.30.8
13.612.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
6097
#35
13.41.4
11.39.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 3.1
6074
#34
10.31.3
11.19.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Third
7790
#27
10.41.3
11.19.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
red by 5.8
6128
#38
4.51.3
5.03.7
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed