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Red53
60987.6
716020.0
586019.9
Blue59
376718.3
760210.8
77949.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4036203050605359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.7
14.516.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.6
red by 1.7
3767
#16
18.30.7
15.115.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
5860
#12
19.91.7
14.916.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End5.8
red by 9.1
7602
#26
10.80.7
8.79.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Third
6098
#37
7.61.6
8.19.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 1.6
7794
#29
9.20.5
10.210.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed