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Red68
609024.5
61284.5
602021.7
Blue53
609413.4
495619.6
606515.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648303540505560656853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.52.3
21.223.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 4.9
4956
#23
19.60.5
19.119.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Second
21.72.1
19.621.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End7.2
red by 5.8
6065
#18
15.90.4
14.815.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
6128
#38
4.52.3
3.15.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End1.9
blue by 8.8
6094
#19
13.40.5
11.211.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed