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Red5
345812.8
60059.9
524713.6
Blue52
357222.6
609713.4
609024.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38470206080100552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#33
13.63.4
12.49.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End3.5
blue by 10.9
24.50.8
16.217.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Second
3458
#21
12.83.4
11.78.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.4
blue by 9.8
22.60.8
14.515.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End8.4
Third
6005
#17
9.93.4
11.78.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
blue by 3.5
6097
#35
13.40.8
14.014.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned