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Red57
609413.4
400418.2
612211.2
Blue42
433714.3
511421.9
656112.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445020304060705742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.8
20.719.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End3.6
blue by 3.7
5114
#13
21.90.3
21.421.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Second
6094
#19
13.40.8
11.710.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.9
blue by 1.0
4337
#20
14.30.3
13.312.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Third
6122
#28
11.20.8
9.48.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 1.3
6561
#31
12.50.5
12.512.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed