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Red46
76899.2
360317.5
779010.4
Blue38
60059.9
495619.6
171113.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334510204050604638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#14
17.51.0
15.216.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End6.1
blue by 2.1
4956
#23
19.60.4
19.018.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Second
7790
#27
10.41.2
9.410.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 3.6
1711
#25
13.90.4
14.714.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Third
7689
#24
9.21.2
6.47.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End4.0
blue by 0.7
6005
#17
9.90.4
9.38.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed