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Red45
609713.4
781013.1
524713.6
Blue64
496717.8
760210.8
609413.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37371020304050604564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#33
13.60.8
11.712.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End3.5
blue by 4.2
4967
#10
17.82.3
14.116.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End6.6
Second
6097
#35
13.40.8
11.312.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Level
6094
#19
13.42.1
10.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Third
7810
#30
13.10.9
11.912.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End3.9
red by 2.3
7602
#26
10.82.1
9.912.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned