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Red75
571221.5
609718.2
749119.1
Blue39
561215.4
705618.3
608514.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68480204060801001207539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
24.924.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.2
red by 3.3
7056
#19
18.30.4
17.216.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End3.5
Second
7491
#17
19.10.3
23.222.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.9
red by 3.7
5612
#27
15.40.4
15.415.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.5
Third
6097
#15
18.20.3
16.215.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.8
red by 4.0
6085
#31
14.20.4
12.412.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed