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Red64
413023.8
353423.5
353521.2
Blue79
283420.6
168431.9
609718.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786802040601001201406479

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#13
23.80.7
27.326.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.6
End4.3
blue by 8.1
1684
#12
31.91.0
27.828.7
Auto3.3
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
23.50.7
25.624.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.6
red by 2.9
2834
#11
20.61.0
22.923.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Third
3535
#18
21.20.7
21.120.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End5.3
red by 3.0
6097
#15
18.21.0
13.714.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
22%Rocket oddsMissed20%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed