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Red50
413023.8
525615.1
584315.9
Blue82
609718.2
213724.1
999828.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696602040801001201405082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#13
23.81.0
25.924.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.6
End4.3
blue by 4.5
28.31.3
21.923.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
5843
#26
15.91.0
19.318.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 8.2
2137
#14
24.11.3
24.025.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End8.0
Third
5256
#28
15.11.0
20.018.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 3.1
6097
#15
18.21.3
16.718.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned