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Red72
353423.5
481017.3
168431.9
Blue64
705618.3
353821.8
213724.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777302040601001201407264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
31.90.7
29.829.1
Auto3.3
Teleop24.1
End4.5
red by 7.7
2137
#14
24.10.3
25.325.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End8.0
Second
23.50.7
26.926.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.6
red by 1.7
3538
#20
21.80.3
28.227.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Third
4810
#16
17.30.7
16.115.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
blue by 0.9
7056
#19
18.30.3
15.615.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned