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Red58
353917.2
571221.5
561215.4
Blue37
353423.5
283420.6
499811.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62642040801005837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.2
23.122.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.2
blue by 1.9
23.51.6
26.024.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.6
Second
3539
#24
17.20.2
20.720.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 3.3
2834
#11
20.61.6
21.419.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Third
5612
#27
15.40.2
14.714.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.5
red by 3.7
4998
#29
11.71.6
12.911.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed