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Red68
508426.7
705618.3
499811.7
Blue40
661012.3
353917.2
659121.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58594045505560656840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
27.428.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.5
End8.4
red by 5.4
6591
#22
21.31.0
23.622.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Second
7056
#19
18.30.8
17.117.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End3.5
red by 1.1
3539
#24
17.21.0
18.417.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Third
4998
#29
11.70.8
10.911.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.4
blue by 0.6
6610
#25
12.31.0
13.512.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed