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Red55
675322.2
499410.9
61287.2
Blue46
544811.5
658110.1
295918.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36391020305060705546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.2
17.718.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End8.0
red by 3.9
2959
#25
18.30.6
16.316.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.8
Second
4994
#24
10.91.2
11.712.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
blue by 0.6
5448
#38
11.50.6
11.412.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Third
6128
#31
7.21.2
4.65.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 2.9
6581
#35
10.10.6
9.09.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsEarned