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Red50
653311.6
50330.0
357013.5
Blue36
658110.1
72139.8
499410.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523310204060705036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
30.00.0
25.725.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 19.1
4994
#24
10.90.1
12.112.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Second
3570
#23
13.50.1
14.014.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End4.3
red by 3.4
6581
#35
10.10.1
10.610.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Third
6533
#32
11.60.0
9.79.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 1.9
7213
#30
9.80.1
8.68.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsEarned