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Red41
508423.7
710910.9
661110.4
Blue32
481920.5
61287.2
696317.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060801001204132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
19.219.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End7.2
red by 3.1
4819
#22
20.50.6
19.719.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Second
10.90.2
9.09.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 6.6
6963
#18
17.51.0
13.912.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
Third
6611
#36
10.40.2
10.410.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.8
End1.9
red by 3.3
6128
#31
7.20.6
7.36.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed