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Red46
550211.4
722615.4
522915.9
Blue74
50330.0
542425.6
525713.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406420801004674

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5229
#26
15.90.6
16.417.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
blue by 14.0
503
#1
30.00.9
25.726.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
Second
7226
#15
15.40.9
13.214.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End2.1
blue by 10.1
5424
#13
25.60.9
24.825.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Third
5502
#34
11.40.6
7.98.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 2.1
5257
#14
13.50.9
9.710.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned