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Red53
519323.5
710910.9
696317.5
Blue40
550211.4
440923.6
749513.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474430405060705340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#11
23.50.6
21.021.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End5.0
blue by 0.1
4409
#19
23.60.1
22.122.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Second
6963
#18
17.50.9
13.214.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
red by 4.5
7495
#33
13.00.2
11.311.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.2
Third
10.90.6
9.810.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 0.4
5502
#34
11.40.1
8.58.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed