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Red56
516211.7
516626.4
664213.6
Blue51
525713.5
696317.5
654821.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514520304060705651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
26.226.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End8.1
red by 4.5
21.90.4
18.518.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.4
Second
6642
#27
13.60.2
11.110.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 3.9
6963
#18
17.50.5
14.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
Third
5162
#39
11.70.2
11.110.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 1.8
5257
#14
13.50.4
10.110.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned