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Red45
720213.6
654821.9
508423.7
Blue24
61287.2
661110.4
658110.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060804524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.1
16.716.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End7.2
red by 13.2
6611
#36
10.40.1
9.19.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Second
21.90.1
16.015.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.4
red by 11.7
6581
#35
10.10.1
9.09.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Third
7202
#29
13.60.2
13.913.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
red by 6.4
6128
#31
7.20.1
4.54.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed