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Red53
655210.5
720213.6
519323.5
Blue81
654821.9
50330.0
664213.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4560203040507080905381

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#11
23.50.7
21.322.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End5.0
blue by 6.4
503
#1
30.01.6
27.429.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
Second
7202
#29
13.60.9
11.512.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
blue by 8.2
21.91.6
18.820.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.4
Third
6552
#28
10.50.9
9.610.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 3.1
6642
#27
13.61.6
10.912.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed87%HAB Docking oddsEarned