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Red49
61287.2
357226.7
562210.5
Blue62
400422.4
440923.6
720213.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456204060801004962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
26.70.5
24.625.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.2
End8.1
red by 3.1
4409
#19
23.60.4
22.222.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Second
5622
#40
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.0
End2.5
blue by 11.9
4004
#20
22.40.4
18.218.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Third
6128
#31
7.20.5
7.37.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 6.4
7202
#29
13.60.5
12.412.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed