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Red63
525713.5
544811.5
658218.5
Blue56
9419.6
664213.6
440923.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405720806356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6582
#16
18.51.5
16.317.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 5.1
4409
#19
23.60.1
22.622.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Second
5257
#14
13.51.5
11.212.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End4.1
blue by 6.1
94
#12
19.60.1
19.119.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End6.0
Third
5448
#38
11.51.5
10.111.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 2.1
6642
#27
13.60.1
12.512.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed