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Red44
86227.9
61287.2
653311.6
Blue62
525713.5
550918.6
481920.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495310203040607080904462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
27.90.6
28.327.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.5
End8.4
red by 7.4
4819
#22
20.50.8
19.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Second
6533
#32
11.60.6
10.49.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 7.0
18.60.8
17.618.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End7.0
Third
6128
#31
7.20.6
7.87.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5257
#14
13.50.8
12.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned