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Red64
118825.3
722615.4
357226.7
Blue58
50330.0
710910.9
295918.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595020304070806458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
26.70.6
22.723.3
Auto3.4
Teleop15.2
End8.1
blue by 3.2
503
#1
30.00.7
24.625.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
Second
25.30.6
20.521.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 7.0
2959
#25
18.30.7
15.616.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.8
Third
7226
#15
15.40.9
12.313.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 4.5
10.90.7
7.58.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsEarned