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Red43
587811.4
233722.1
8519.5
Blue34
400322.0
78148.7
505620.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464130355055604334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.1
16.015.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End6.0
Level
4003
#10
22.00.9
16.515.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End8.4
Second
85
#7
19.50.1
16.416.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End6.4
blue by 0.9
20.40.9
11.911.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Third
5878
#32
11.40.1
11.311.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 2.7
7814
#38
8.70.9
10.89.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed