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Red50
432524.0
780913.0
505620.4
Blue18
520415.6
547311.4
656810.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3530152025404550555018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.8
14.516.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.3
End7.6
red by 8.4
5204
#14
15.61.2
11.410.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
20.41.8
11.012.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
red by 9.0
5473
#18
11.41.2
7.66.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Third
7809
#30
13.01.8
7.99.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 2.7
6568
#21
10.31.2
9.68.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed