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Red44
8519.5
28810.4
511010.7
Blue40
423716.4
295914.7
518210.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3340203050604440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
19.51.1
16.517.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End6.4
red by 3.2
4237
#11
16.40.2
16.516.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Second
5110
#15
10.71.1
6.98.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 4.0
2959
#26
14.70.2
12.713.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
288
#37
10.41.1
7.99.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End4.7
red by 0.1
5182
#36
10.30.2
8.79.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed