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Red36
78148.7
520415.6
598015.2
Blue46
553513.3
7418.6
723410.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143253035455055603646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5204
#14
15.60.9
12.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
blue by 2.9
74
#16
18.60.1
15.515.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
5980
#24
15.20.9
15.314.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End4.8
red by 1.9
5535
#28
13.30.1
14.114.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Third
7814
#38
8.70.9
10.39.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End3.5
blue by 1.8
7234
#23
10.50.1
11.011.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed