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Red36
780913.0
125412.6
362017.9
Blue57
295914.7
505620.4
233722.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4447303540505560653657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.6
18.017.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End7.9
blue by 4.2
22.11.1
18.819.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End6.0
Second
7809
#30
13.00.6
11.210.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End2.8
blue by 7.4
20.41.1
14.215.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Third
1254
#22
12.60.6
12.211.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.0
blue by 2.1
2959
#26
14.71.1
11.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned