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Red36
7418.6
194013.5
72108.2
Blue56
400322.0
524815.5
587811.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354320304050603656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#16
18.60.3
15.515.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 3.5
4003
#10
22.01.7
19.020.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End8.4
Second
1940
#20
13.50.3
8.58.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.9
blue by 1.9
5248
#13
15.51.7
11.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Third
7210
#34
8.20.3
9.19.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End4.1
blue by 3.2
5878
#32
11.41.7
10.612.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned