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Red46
511010.7
505620.4
547311.4
Blue34
433711.0
553513.3
598015.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3844203050604634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.1
15.315.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
red by 5.2
5980
#24
15.20.8
13.813.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End4.8
Second
5473
#18
11.40.1
11.611.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 1.8
5535
#28
13.30.8
14.113.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Third
5110
#15
10.70.1
9.39.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 0.3
4337
#27
11.00.8
13.813.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed