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Red43
519416.5
400322.0
360312.0
Blue52
511010.7
345222.5
658811.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453820305060704352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#10
22.00.0
20.020.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End8.4
blue by 0.5
22.51.2
18.519.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End8.3
Second
5194
#29
16.50.0
13.513.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 5.5
6588
#39
11.01.2
8.39.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Third
3603
#31
12.00.0
9.19.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End4.6
red by 1.3
5110
#15
10.71.2
9.410.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned