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Red56
194013.5
505620.4
21613.3
Blue54
598015.2
519416.5
7418.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40481020306070805654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.6
17.018.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
red by 1.8
74
#16
18.60.7
17.418.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
1940
#20
13.51.6
9.110.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.9
blue by 3.0
5194
#29
16.50.8
13.614.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
216
#35
13.31.4
12.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 1.9
5980
#24
15.20.8
14.315.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed