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Red52
656810.3
440919.7
524815.5
Blue30
547311.4
658811.0
587811.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46371020305060705230

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.6
19.219.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 8.2
5473
#18
11.40.4
11.811.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Second
5248
#13
15.50.6
14.915.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End4.5
red by 4.1
5878
#32
11.40.4
11.811.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
6568
#21
10.30.6
9.710.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End2.6
blue by 0.6
6588
#39
11.00.4
11.311.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed