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Red48
511010.7
515216.6
520415.6
Blue30
125412.6
72108.2
21613.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43372030405060704830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
16.60.5
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End4.9
red by 3.3
216
#35
13.30.4
13.713.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Second
5204
#14
15.60.5
15.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
red by 3.0
1254
#22
12.60.4
13.012.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.0
Third
5110
#15
10.70.5
10.210.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
red by 2.5
7210
#34
8.20.4
8.68.2
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsEarned