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Red59
592721.3
432524.0
28810.4
Blue53
7418.6
362017.9
511010.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614930407080905953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.2
24.924.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.3
End7.6
red by 5.5
74
#16
18.60.1
18.418.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
5927
#19
21.30.2
22.121.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 3.4
17.90.1
17.717.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End7.9
Third
288
#37
10.40.2
11.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End4.7
blue by 0.3
5110
#15
10.70.1
10.610.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3