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Red34
485110.7
118820.3
656713.4
Blue26
547810.0
719110.1
611716.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37362025304045503426

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.3
12.312.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End4.3
red by 3.8
6117
#20
16.61.7
16.514.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Second
13.40.3
9.49.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.3
red by 3.3
7191
#24
10.11.7
10.48.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Third
4851
#31
10.70.3
9.910.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End2.1
red by 0.7
5478
#23
10.01.7
11.29.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed