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Red60
76929.5
341419.2
468019.8
Blue68
437713.4
543625.8
283419.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334520304050606068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.83.2
12.916.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End8.1
blue by 6.0
25.82.8
17.920.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Second
3414
#16
19.23.2
12.115.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End2.8
blue by 0.5
19.62.8
16.219.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End6.3
Third
7692
#32
9.53.2
6.09.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 3.9
4377
#18
13.42.8
8.511.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed