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Red35
661613.0
547810.0
83510.3
Blue23
267312.0
485110.7
76929.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332242628303436383523

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6616
#12
13.00.1
11.411.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
red by 1.0
2673
#29
12.00.8
10.59.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.2
Second
835
#25
10.30.1
9.29.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End2.0
blue by 0.5
4851
#31
10.70.8
10.09.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Third
5478
#23
10.00.1
10.410.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.5
red by 0.5
7692
#32
9.50.8
9.48.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed