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Red18
65458.3
56199.5
60938.5
Blue47
222411.3
77167.3
575612.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31291520253540451847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5619
#39
9.51.3
9.17.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 3.0
5756
#30
12.50.9
11.212.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Second
6093
#22
8.51.3
12.311.1
Auto4.9
Teleop1.4
End2.1
blue by 2.8
2224
#19
11.30.9
8.19.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
6545
#33
8.31.3
8.06.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.4
red by 1.0
7716
#26
7.30.9
7.88.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed